Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Glendening 53.4% vs Duchene 61.5% (-8.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 64.0%
Defensive zone
Glendening 76.1%
Neutral zone
Glendening 55.0%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 54.2%
45.8%
54.2%
Glendening
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Glendening
Duchene
Last 6: Glendening 2-4 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
4
Glendening
Duchene
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Glendening
1
0
Glendening
Duchene
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Glendening
1
0
Glendening
Duchene
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Glendening
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (407)
62.2% (802)
-6.7%
Power Play
72.7% (11)
67.3% (153)
+5.4%
Penalty Kill
48.7% (150)
59.4% (143)
-10.7%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Glendening is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (369).
Glendening shoots right. Duchene is 65.4% vs right-shot opponents (407).
Home / Away
Glendening
Duchene
Home
56.6% (316)
66.5% (555)
Away
50.8% (252)
58.6% (543)
By Period
Glendening
Duchene
P1
44.9%
63.2%
P2
56.8%
59.6%
P3
60.3%
65.0%
OT
57.1%
71.4%
Final 5 min
55.2%
65.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Glendening
56.0%▲
50.5%
54.0%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
62.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2017 | 3 | 12:44 | Neutral | Luke Glendening |
| Mar 18, 2017 | 3 | 07:16 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Mar 18, 2017 | 2 | 19:57 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 18, 2017 | 1 | 03:40 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 15, 2017 | 3 | 06:55 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 15, 2017 | 1 | 19:54 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |