Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 50.3% vs Kadri 45.6% (+5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 70.9%
Defensive zone
Duchene 85.4%
Neutral zone
Duchene 81.3%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 76.7%
76.7%
23.3%
Duchene
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Duchene
Kadri
Last 5: Duchene 5-0 Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
3
0
Duchene
Kadri
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
2
0
Duchene
Kadri
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (933)
44.1% (957)
+5.3%
Power Play
58.7% (104)
51.9% (162)
+6.8%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (21)
50.0% (8)
-2.4%
On power play, Duchene has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. Duchene is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (656).
Duchene shoots left. Kadri is 43.7% vs left-shot opponents (675).
Home / Away
Duchene
Kadri
Home
51.9% (534)
47.0% (555)
Away
48.7% (524)
43.5% (572)
By Period
Duchene
Kadri
P1
51.0%
47.5%
P2
48.8%
45.1%
P3
50.6%
44.2%
OT
57.1%
28.6%
Final 5 min
50.2%
45.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
50.3%
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2014 | 3 | 04:13 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 21, 2014 | 2 | 15:56 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 8, 2013 | 3 | 19:46 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 8, 2013 | 2 | 14:24 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 8, 2013 | 1 | 13:53 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |