Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 52.1% vs Kadri 47.7% (+5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 71.0%
Defensive zone
Kadri 53.4%
Neutral zone
Duchene 56.1%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 62.9%
62.9%
37.1%
Duchene
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Duchene
Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
2
0
Duchene
Kadri
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
0
1
Duchene
Kadri
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (193)
46.2% (1,005)
+7.7%
Power Play
49.2% (65)
57.3% (199)
-8.1%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
26.7% (30)
+73.3%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +73.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. Duchene is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (154).
Duchene shoots left. Kadri is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (793).
Home / Away
Duchene
Kadri
Home
54.9% (113)
47.4% (641)
Away
51.4% (146)
47.6% (593)
By Period
Duchene
Kadri
P1
54.9%
46.9%
P2
52.7%
49.5%
P3
51.9%
46.2%
OT
50.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
60.6%
46.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
52.9%
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2023 | 2 | 09:29 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 3 | 08:22 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 1 | 18:30 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |