Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Kadri on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Duchene wins 53.8% vs left-shot opponents — Kadri shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 52.1% vs Kadri 46.5% (+6.2%)
H2H factor
Kadri leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Kadri 67.3%
Defensive zone
Kadri 70.9%
Neutral zone
Kadri 63.5%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 67.2%
32.8%
67.2%
Duchene
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
8
(12 meetings)
4
8
Duchene
Kadri
Last 10: Duchene 3-7 Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
1
3
Duchene
Kadri
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
3
1
Duchene
Kadri
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kadri
0
4
Duchene
Kadri
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (723)
45.7% (1,295)
+7.3%
Power Play
49.5% (101)
52.7% (146)
-3.2%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (16)
34.8% (23)
+9.0%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. Duchene is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (517).
Duchene shoots left. Kadri is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,030).
Home / Away
Duchene
Kadri
Home
54.9% (408)
46.5% (725)
Away
50.0% (432)
46.0% (739)
By Period
Duchene
Kadri
P1
52.5%
47.2%
P2
51.7%
44.9%
P3
53.6%
46.3%
OT
33.3%
51.4%
Final 5 min
53.3%
46.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
52.4%
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2025 | 2 | 10:19 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 1 | 11:11 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 6, 2025 | OT | 03:23 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 6, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 3 | 06:14 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 2 | 08:05 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 3 | 18:46 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 3 | 13:53 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 2 | 12:58 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 2 | 09:22 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 1 | 12:09 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 1 | 01:00 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |