Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Kadri on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 52.0% vs Kadri 46.5% (+6.0%)
H2H factor
Kadri leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Kadri 67.9%
Defensive zone
Kadri 76.4%
Neutral zone
Kadri 66.1%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 70.5%
29.5%
70.5%
Duchene
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
8
(11 meetings)
3
8
Duchene
Kadri
Last 10: Duchene 3-7 Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
0
4
Duchene
Kadri
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Duchene
Kadri
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kadri
1
2
Duchene
Kadri
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (1,081)
47.2% (1,015)
+5.4%
Power Play
49.6% (119)
41.1% (112)
+8.5%
Penalty Kill
41.2% (17)
17.6% (17)
+23.6%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +23.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. Duchene is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (744).
Duchene shoots left. Kadri is 44.7% vs left-shot opponents (695).
Home / Away
Duchene
Kadri
Home
54.9% (625)
45.4% (573)
Away
49.3% (592)
46.9% (571)
By Period
Duchene
Kadri
P1
52.7%
48.9%
P2
54.1%
45.2%
P3
49.5%
43.4%
OT
57.1%
61.1%
Final 5 min
46.1%
44.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
52.2%
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2014 | 3 | 11:27 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 6, 2014 | 3 | 04:57 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 6, 2014 | 2 | 15:37 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 6, 2014 | 1 | 18:50 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 6, 2014 | 1 | 16:20 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 6, 2014 | 1 | 02:49 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 6, 2014 | 1 | 00:31 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 14, 2014 | 3 | 15:53 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 14, 2014 | 2 | 08:27 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 14, 2014 | 1 | 14:12 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 14, 2014 | 1 | 10:06 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |