Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +14.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Kadri on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Duchene wins 60.9% vs left-shot opponents — Kadri shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 61.5% vs Kadri 48.1% (+14.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 66.9%
Defensive zone
Kadri 67.6%
Neutral zone
Kadri 70.4%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 68.2%
31.8%
68.2%
Duchene
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Duchene
Kadri
Last 8: Duchene 3-5 Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
0
1
Duchene
Kadri
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
2
3
Duchene
Kadri
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Duchene
Kadri
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
62.2% (802)
47.9% (1,051)
+14.3%
Power Play
67.3% (153)
50.0% (66)
+17.3%
Penalty Kill
59.4% (143)
47.1% (17)
+12.3%
On power play, Duchene has a +17.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. Duchene is 60.9% vs left-shot opponents (691).
Duchene shoots left. Kadri is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (726).
Home / Away
Duchene
Kadri
Home
66.5% (555)
50.3% (576)
Away
58.6% (543)
45.5% (558)
By Period
Duchene
Kadri
P1
63.2%
49.9%
P2
59.6%
48.1%
P3
65.0%
46.2%
OT
71.4%
41.2%
Final 5 min
65.9%
43.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
62.6%
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 22, 2016 | 3 | 13:58 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 22, 2016 | 3 | 13:54 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 22, 2016 | 2 | 10:11 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 22, 2016 | 2 | 03:24 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 22, 2016 | 2 | 03:14 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 22, 2016 | 1 | 10:59 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 22, 2016 | 1 | 07:13 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 22, 2016 | 1 | 03:39 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |