Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 52.1% vs Bonino 48.5% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 82.6%
Defensive zone
Bonino 87.6%
Neutral zone
Bonino 55.0%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 87.6%
12.4%
87.6%
Duchene
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Duchene
Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
0
1
Duchene
Bonino
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (193)
48.1% (324)
+5.8%
Power Play
49.2% (65)
57.9% (38)
-8.7%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
44.3% (88)
+55.7%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +55.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Duchene is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (154).
Duchene shoots left. Bonino is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (272).
Home / Away
Duchene
Bonino
Home
54.9% (113)
52.0% (244)
Away
51.4% (146)
43.7% (206)
By Period
Duchene
Bonino
P1
54.9%
48.0%
P2
52.7%
42.9%
P3
51.9%
53.9%
OT
50.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
60.6%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
52.9%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2022 | 3 | 13:17 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |