Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Duchene wins 58.3% vs left-shot opponents — Bonino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 55.6% vs Bonino 50.8% (+5.5%)
Offensive zone
Duchene 73.8%
Defensive zone
Bonino 74.2%
Neutral zone
Bonino 52.2%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 50.9%
49.1%
50.9%
Duchene
Bonino
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (566)
51.8% (305)
+4.7%
Penalty Kill
22.2% (9)
48.5% (101)
-26.3%
On penalty kill, Bonino has a +26.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Duchene is 58.3% vs left-shot opponents (386).
Duchene shoots left. Bonino is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (253).
Home / Away
Duchene
Bonino
Home
56.6% (318)
53.1% (177)
Away
56.4% (319)
49.3% (229)
By Period
Duchene
Bonino
P1
57.2%
55.9%
P2
55.1%
49.6%
P3
55.6%
47.6%
OT
81.3%
100.0%
Final 5 min
47.9%
42.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
56.5%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
51.0%