Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 52.1% vs Cousins 49.6% (+3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 72.8%
Defensive zone
Cousins 80.1%
Neutral zone
Cousins 51.9%
Result
Nick Cousins favored at 80.1%
19.9%
80.1%
Duchene
Cousins
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Duchene
Cousins
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cousins
0
1
Duchene
Cousins
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Cousins
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (193)
49.3% (140)
+4.6%
Power Play
49.2% (65)
0.0% (1)
+49.2%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
66.7% (3)
+33.3%
On power play, Duchene has a +49.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cousins shoots left. Duchene is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (154).
Duchene shoots left. Cousins is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (93).
Home / Away
Duchene
Cousins
Home
54.9% (113)
51.8% (83)
Away
51.4% (146)
45.9% (61)
By Period
Duchene
Cousins
P1
54.9%
52.9%
P2
52.7%
35.6%
P3
51.9%
58.3%
Final 5 min
60.6%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
52.9%
Cousins
50.0%▲
48.0%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2023 | 3 | 17:06 | Defensive | Nick Cousins |