Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Cousins on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Duchene wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Cousins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 54.1% vs Cousins 45.2% (+9.3%)
H2H factor
Cousins leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Cousins 78.5%
Defensive zone
Cousins 78.2%
Neutral zone
Cousins 73.1%
Result
Nick Cousins favored at 76.4%
23.6%
76.4%
Duchene
Cousins
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
8
(11 meetings)
3
8
Duchene
Cousins
Last 10: Duchene 2-8 Cousins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cousins
0
3
Duchene
Cousins
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
3
1
Duchene
Cousins
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cousins
0
4
Duchene
Cousins
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Cousins
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (10,396)
44.9% (1,508)
+9.0%
Power Play
56.9% (1,665)
44.6% (101)
+12.3%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (468)
42.9% (7)
+6.2%
On power play, Duchene has a +12.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cousins shoots left. Duchene is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,059).
Duchene shoots left. Cousins is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,033).
Home / Away
Duchene
Cousins
Home
55.6% (6,411)
46.7% (809)
Away
52.7% (6,142)
43.0% (807)
By Period
Duchene
Cousins
P1
54.5%
47.5%
P2
54.5%
43.6%
P3
53.4%
43.6%
OT
56.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
53.7%
47.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
54.2%
Cousins
50.0%▲
48.0%
44.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2023 | 3 | 17:06 | Defensive | Nick Cousins |
| Jan 22, 2019 | 3 | 19:50 | Neutral | Nick Cousins |
| Jan 22, 2019 | 3 | 09:28 | Neutral | Nick Cousins |
| Jan 22, 2019 | 3 | 07:35 | Neutral | Nick Cousins |
| Jan 22, 2019 | 2 | 19:00 | Offensive | Nick Cousins |
| Jan 22, 2019 | 1 | 06:45 | Offensive | Nick Cousins |
| Nov 18, 2017 | 1 | 17:49 | Neutral | Nick Cousins |
| Nov 18, 2017 | 1 | 01:58 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 14, 2016 | 1 | 16:39 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 14, 2016 | 1 | 10:17 | Offensive | Nick Cousins |
| Dec 14, 2016 | 1 | 03:48 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |