Matt Duchene vs Nicklas Backstrom
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on defensive-zone draws (64% H2H, 22 meetings). Duchene wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Backstrom shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 54.1% vs Backstrom 50.5% (+3.7%)
H2H factor
Duchene leads 32-28 in 60 meetings
Offensive zone
Duchene 57.1%
Defensive zone
Duchene 55.7%
Neutral zone
Duchene 55.3%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 55.9%
55.9%
44.1%
Duchene
Backstrom
Head-to-Head Record
32
-
28
(60 meetings)
32
28
Duchene
Backstrom
Last 10: Duchene 6-4 Backstrom
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backstrom
6
9
Duchene
Backstrom
15 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
14
8
Duchene
Backstrom
22 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
12
11
Duchene
Backstrom
23 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Backstrom
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (10,396)
50.4% (11,581)
+3.5%
Power Play
56.9% (1,665)
52.3% (1,895)
+4.6%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (468)
47.0% (889)
+2.1%
On power play, Duchene has a +4.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backstrom shoots left. Duchene is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,059).
Duchene shoots left. Backstrom is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (8,966).
Home / Away
Duchene
Backstrom
Home
55.6% (6,411)
52.6% (7,223)
Away
52.7% (6,142)
48.4% (7,173)
By Period
Duchene
Backstrom
P1
54.5%
50.1%
P2
54.5%
49.7%
P3
53.4%
51.6%
OT
56.3%
52.9%
Final 5 min
53.7%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
54.2%
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2022 | 2 | 04:05 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Oct 10, 2019 | 2 | 08:20 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Oct 10, 2019 | 2 | 08:13 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 3 | 00:21 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 3 | 00:13 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 2 | 10:58 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 1 | 16:00 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 1 | 07:56 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 22, 2018 | 3 | 01:25 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 22, 2018 | 2 | 12:05 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 22, 2018 | 2 | 04:22 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Dec 22, 2018 | 2 | 04:13 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 27, 2018 | 1 | 15:34 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Feb 27, 2018 | 1 | 02:47 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 22, 2017 | 3 | 12:46 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Nov 22, 2017 | 3 | 10:21 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 18, 2016 | 3 | 05:00 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Oct 18, 2016 | 2 | 08:54 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |