Matt Duchene vs Nicklas Backstrom
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 52.1% vs Backstrom 50.3% (+2.5%)
Offensive zone
Duchene 79.1%
Defensive zone
Backstrom 76.5%
Neutral zone
Backstrom 59.3%
Result
Nicklas Backstrom favored at 52.3%
47.7%
52.3%
Duchene
Backstrom
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Backstrom
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (193)
51.4% (473)
+2.5%
Power Play
49.2% (65)
39.5% (38)
+9.7%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
33.3% (3)
+66.7%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +66.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backstrom shoots left. Duchene is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (154).
Duchene shoots left. Backstrom is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (342).
Home / Away
Duchene
Backstrom
Home
54.9% (113)
53.6% (278)
Away
51.4% (146)
46.6% (236)
By Period
Duchene
Backstrom
P1
54.9%
51.5%
P2
52.7%
56.0%
P3
51.9%
43.5%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
60.6%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
52.9%
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
50.4%