Matt Duchene vs Nicklas Backstrom
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Duchene wins 58.3% vs left-shot opponents — Backstrom shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 55.6% vs Backstrom 51.1% (+4.1%)
Offensive zone
Backstrom 54.2%
Defensive zone
Duchene 55.0%
Neutral zone
Backstrom 51.2%
Result
Nicklas Backstrom favored at 50.1%
49.9%
50.1%
Duchene
Backstrom
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Backstrom
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (566)
53.2% (77)
+3.3%
Power Play
61.3% (62)
50.0% (6)
+11.3%
Penalty Kill
22.2% (9)
0.0% (1)
+22.2%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +22.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backstrom shoots left. Duchene is 58.3% vs left-shot opponents (386).
Duchene shoots left. Backstrom is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (61).
Home / Away
Duchene
Backstrom
Home
56.6% (318)
54.5% (55)
Away
56.4% (319)
48.3% (29)
By Period
Duchene
Backstrom
P1
57.2%
50.0%
P2
55.1%
52.9%
P3
55.6%
55.0%
OT
81.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.9%
55.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
56.5%
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
52.4%