Matt Duchene vs Nicklas Backstrom
2018-19 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Duchene wins 55.9% vs left-shot opponents — Backstrom shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 54.9% vs Backstrom 48.7% (+6.7%)
H2H factor
Duchene leads 9-2 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Duchene 86.7%
Defensive zone
Duchene 66.4%
Neutral zone
Duchene 77.5%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 75.1%
75.1%
24.9%
Duchene
Backstrom
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
2
(11 meetings)
9
2
Duchene
Backstrom
Last 10: Duchene 8-2 Backstrom
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
2
0
Duchene
Backstrom
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
4
0
Duchene
Backstrom
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
3
2
Duchene
Backstrom
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Backstrom
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (1,013)
48.5% (1,151)
+6.9%
Power Play
56.3% (192)
50.0% (176)
+6.3%
Penalty Kill
41.2% (17)
48.2% (112)
-7.0%
On penalty kill, Backstrom has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backstrom shoots left. Duchene is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (823).
Duchene shoots left. Backstrom is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (889).
Home / Away
Duchene
Backstrom
Home
56.2% (642)
50.8% (783)
Away
54.3% (580)
46.0% (656)
By Period
Duchene
Backstrom
P1
56.2%
49.3%
P2
56.5%
46.6%
P3
52.9%
50.1%
OT
64.3%
42.9%
Final 5 min
52.6%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
55.3%
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2018 | 3 | 00:21 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 3 | 00:13 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 2 | 10:58 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 1 | 16:00 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 1 | 07:56 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 22, 2018 | 3 | 01:25 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 22, 2018 | 2 | 12:05 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 22, 2018 | 2 | 04:22 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Dec 22, 2018 | 2 | 04:13 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |