Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +17.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Engvall on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 55.3% vs Engvall 44.4% (+17.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 86.2%
Defensive zone
Duchene 57.7%
Neutral zone
Duchene 81.3%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 76.6%
76.6%
23.4%
Duchene
Engvall
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Duchene
Engvall
Last 8: Duchene 5-3 Engvall
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
2
0
Duchene
Engvall
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
2
0
Duchene
Engvall
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Engvall
1
3
Duchene
Engvall
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Engvall
Edge
Even Strength
56.0% (579)
41.0% (78)
+15.0%
Power Play
59.3% (108)
50.0% (2)
+9.3%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (8)
32.0% (25)
-7.0%
On even strength, Duchene has a +15.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Engvall shoots left. Duchene is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (454).
Duchene shoots left. Engvall is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (54).
Home / Away
Duchene
Engvall
Home
54.9% (375)
47.1% (34)
Away
57.5% (320)
35.2% (71)
By Period
Duchene
Engvall
P1
58.3%
44.1%
P2
56.7%
38.1%
P3
53.1%
34.5%
Final 5 min
54.5%
45.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
56.1%
Engvall
36.0%▼
43.5%
39.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2020 | 2 | 15:35 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 27, 2020 | 2 | 08:51 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 27, 2020 | 1 | 17:48 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 27, 2020 | 1 | 14:46 | Neutral | Pierre Engvall |
| Jan 27, 2020 | 1 | 10:35 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 27, 2020 | 1 | 07:26 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 27, 2020 | 1 | 07:12 | Neutral | Pierre Engvall |
| Jan 27, 2020 | 1 | 04:13 | Neutral | Pierre Engvall |