Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +10.2% FO% edge overall. Duchene wins 58.3% vs left-shot opponents — Engvall shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 55.6% vs Engvall 48.7% (+10.2%)
Offensive zone
Engvall 59.9%
Defensive zone
Duchene 63.3%
Neutral zone
Duchene 50.6%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 51.4%
51.4%
48.6%
Duchene
Engvall
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Engvall
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (566)
45.7% (46)
+10.8%
Power Play
61.3% (62)
50.0% (8)
+11.3%
On power play, Duchene has a +11.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Engvall shoots left. Duchene is 58.3% vs left-shot opponents (386).
Duchene shoots left. Engvall is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (36).
Home / Away
Duchene
Engvall
Home
56.6% (318)
38.1% (21)
Away
56.4% (319)
51.5% (33)
By Period
Duchene
Engvall
P1
57.2%
37.0%
P2
55.1%
56.3%
P3
55.6%
54.5%
Final 5 min
47.9%
66.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
56.5%
Engvall
36.0%▼
43.5%
46.3%