Matt Duchene vs Pierre-Luc Dubois
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Duchene wins 53.8% vs left-shot opponents — Dubois shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 52.1% vs Dubois 49.7% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 67.8%
Defensive zone
Duchene 52.7%
Neutral zone
Duchene 63.4%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 58.8%
58.8%
41.2%
Duchene
Dubois
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Duchene
Dubois
Last 6: Duchene 4-2 Dubois
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
1
0
Duchene
Dubois
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
2
1
Duchene
Dubois
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Duchene
Dubois
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Dubois
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (723)
49.8% (1,064)
+3.2%
Power Play
49.5% (101)
46.3% (67)
+3.2%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (16)
53.3% (30)
-9.5%
On penalty kill, Dubois has a +9.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dubois shoots left. Duchene is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (517).
Duchene shoots left. Dubois is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (770).
Home / Away
Duchene
Dubois
Home
54.9% (408)
48.3% (582)
Away
50.0% (432)
51.1% (579)
By Period
Duchene
Dubois
P1
52.5%
52.0%
P2
51.7%
49.9%
P3
53.6%
46.9%
OT
33.3%
64.3%
Final 5 min
53.3%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
52.4%
Dubois
44.0%▼
51.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2024 | 2 | 18:07 | Defensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Dec 16, 2024 | 2 | 11:28 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 16, 2024 | 1 | 07:10 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 16, 2024 | 1 | 04:00 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 2 | 17:19 | Neutral | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 2 | 04:37 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |