Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.1% vs 53.3%). Duchene wins 58.1% vs right-shot opponents — Getzlaf shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 52.8% vs Getzlaf 53.0% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 80.7%
Defensive zone
Getzlaf 81.8%
Neutral zone
Getzlaf 54.3%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 56.4%
56.4%
43.6%
Duchene
Getzlaf
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Duchene
Getzlaf
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
2
0
Duchene
Getzlaf
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Getzlaf
0
1
Duchene
Getzlaf
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Getzlaf
0
1
Duchene
Getzlaf
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Getzlaf
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (162)
52.5% (772)
-5.6%
Power Play
73.2% (56)
60.8% (153)
+12.4%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (2)
48.0% (100)
+52.0%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +52.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Getzlaf shoots right. Duchene is 58.1% vs right-shot opponents (105).
Duchene shoots left. Getzlaf is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (803).
Home / Away
Duchene
Getzlaf
Home
58.4% (125)
56.0% (557)
Away
48.4% (95)
50.0% (468)
By Period
Duchene
Getzlaf
P1
56.9%
52.2%
P2
52.5%
53.0%
P3
51.9%
54.9%
OT
80.0%
46.7%
Final 5 min
52.8%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
54.1%
Getzlaf
54.0%▬
53.5%
53.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2021 | 3 | 15:08 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 22, 2021 | 3 | 08:29 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Nov 22, 2021 | 2 | 14:07 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 22, 2021 | 2 | 12:32 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |