Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on defensive-zone draws (70% H2H, 30 meetings). Duchene wins 55.2% vs right-shot opponents — Getzlaf shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 54.1% vs Getzlaf 49.8% (+4.4%)
H2H factor
Duchene leads 60-36 in 96 meetings
Offensive zone
Duchene 86.0%
Defensive zone
Duchene 61.1%
Neutral zone
Duchene 76.4%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 75.4%
75.4%
24.6%
Duchene
Getzlaf
Head-to-Head Record
60
-
36
(96 meetings)
60
36
Duchene
Getzlaf
Last 10: Duchene 6-4 Getzlaf
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
24
14
Duchene
Getzlaf
38 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
21
9
Duchene
Getzlaf
30 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
15
13
Duchene
Getzlaf
28 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Getzlaf
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (10,396)
49.6% (10,258)
+4.3%
Power Play
56.9% (1,665)
54.9% (1,381)
+2.0%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (468)
44.8% (1,055)
+4.3%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +4.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Getzlaf shoots right. Duchene is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (4,494).
Duchene shoots left. Getzlaf is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (9,181).
Home / Away
Duchene
Getzlaf
Home
55.6% (6,411)
51.8% (6,270)
Away
52.7% (6,142)
47.8% (6,495)
By Period
Duchene
Getzlaf
P1
54.5%
49.2%
P2
54.5%
50.4%
P3
53.4%
49.7%
OT
56.3%
49.1%
Final 5 min
53.7%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
54.2%
Getzlaf
54.0%▬
53.5%
49.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2021 | 3 | 15:08 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 22, 2021 | 3 | 08:29 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Nov 22, 2021 | 2 | 14:07 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 22, 2021 | 2 | 12:32 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Jan 16, 2020 | 3 | 13:27 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 16, 2020 | 2 | 18:07 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 16, 2020 | 2 | 09:39 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 22, 2019 | 3 | 00:45 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Oct 22, 2019 | 1 | 10:51 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Feb 7, 2019 | 3 | 15:18 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 1, 2018 | 3 | 19:40 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Feb 1, 2018 | 3 | 19:24 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Feb 1, 2018 | 3 | 08:08 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 1, 2018 | 3 | 03:56 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 31, 2017 | 3 | 14:07 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 31, 2017 | 3 | 04:43 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Jan 31, 2017 | 3 | 02:51 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 31, 2017 | 2 | 13:29 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Jan 31, 2017 | 2 | 09:49 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 31, 2017 | 2 | 09:24 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |