Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 51.6% vs Bennett 48.3% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 60.3%
Defensive zone
Duchene 57.1%
Neutral zone
Duchene 51.8%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 60.3%
60.3%
39.7%
Duchene
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Duchene
Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
2
0
Duchene
Bennett
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (324)
46.4% (780)
+4.8%
Power Play
60.4% (53)
57.3% (150)
+3.1%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (6)
47.8% (46)
-31.1%
On penalty kill, Bennett has a +31.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Duchene is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (242).
Duchene shoots left. Bennett is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (652).
Home / Away
Duchene
Bennett
Home
51.6% (182)
50.3% (519)
Away
52.2% (201)
45.7% (457)
By Period
Duchene
Bennett
P1
49.6%
47.5%
P2
56.2%
46.6%
P3
48.6%
49.8%
OT
60.0%
70.0%
Final 5 min
51.1%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
52.0%
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2025 | 3 | 01:18 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 1 | 15:25 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |