Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +11.0% FO% edge overall. Duchene wins 58.3% vs left-shot opponents — Bennett shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 55.6% vs Bennett 45.9% (+11.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 51.5%
Defensive zone
Duchene 62.2%
Neutral zone
Duchene 71.4%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 58.2%
58.2%
41.8%
Duchene
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Duchene
Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Duchene
Bennett
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
1
0
Duchene
Bennett
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (566)
44.7% (772)
+11.8%
Power Play
61.3% (62)
56.9% (58)
+4.4%
Penalty Kill
22.2% (9)
42.9% (28)
-20.7%
On penalty kill, Bennett has a +20.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Duchene is 58.3% vs left-shot opponents (386).
Duchene shoots left. Bennett is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (549).
Home / Away
Duchene
Bennett
Home
56.6% (318)
48.5% (447)
Away
56.4% (319)
42.1% (411)
By Period
Duchene
Bennett
P1
57.2%
47.1%
P2
55.1%
45.8%
P3
55.6%
42.9%
OT
81.3%
60.0%
Final 5 min
47.9%
42.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
56.5%
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2024 | 3 | 06:07 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 1 | 09:50 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 6, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |