Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on neutral-zone draws (70% H2H, 10 meetings). Duchene wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Bennett shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 54.1% vs Bennett 47.2% (+7.0%)
H2H factor
Duchene leads 14-9 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Duchene 74.7%
Defensive zone
Duchene 82.0%
Neutral zone
Duchene 79.7%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 77.5%
77.5%
22.5%
Duchene
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
9
(23 meetings)
14
9
Duchene
Bennett
Last 10: Duchene 8-2 Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
6
5
Duchene
Bennett
11 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Duchene
Bennett
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
7
3
Duchene
Bennett
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (10,396)
46.8% (5,683)
+7.1%
Power Play
56.9% (1,665)
53.7% (555)
+3.2%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (468)
41.8% (256)
+7.3%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +7.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Duchene is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,059).
Duchene shoots left. Bennett is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (4,232).
Home / Away
Duchene
Bennett
Home
55.6% (6,411)
48.4% (3,262)
Away
52.7% (6,142)
45.9% (3,232)
By Period
Duchene
Bennett
P1
54.5%
48.0%
P2
54.5%
46.5%
P3
53.4%
46.9%
OT
56.3%
52.5%
Final 5 min
53.7%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
54.2%
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2025 | 3 | 01:18 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 1 | 15:25 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 2 | 11:50 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 1 | 10:42 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 1, 2024 | 1 | 10:45 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 1, 2024 | 1 | 00:48 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Nov 1, 2024 | 1 | 00:28 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 3 | 06:07 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 1 | 09:50 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 6, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Apr 27, 2021 | 2 | 07:58 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Oct 31, 2019 | 1 | 19:28 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 4, 2017 | 3 | 18:35 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Jan 4, 2017 | 2 | 19:58 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Jan 4, 2017 | 2 | 07:46 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 4, 2017 | 2 | 06:57 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 4, 2017 | 1 | 15:25 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 27, 2016 | 2 | 11:45 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Nov 3, 2015 | 3 | 14:29 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |