Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 52.8% vs Laughton 51.7% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 63.2%
Defensive zone
Laughton 55.1%
Neutral zone
Duchene 52.0%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 56.5%
56.5%
43.5%
Duchene
Laughton
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Duchene
Laughton
Last 5: Duchene 3-2 Laughton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Duchene
Laughton
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
2
1
Duchene
Laughton
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Laughton
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (1,112)
52.2% (521)
+0.4%
Power Play
56.0% (193)
46.7% (15)
+9.3%
Penalty Kill
49.0% (49)
51.5% (68)
-2.5%
On power play, Duchene has a +9.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Laughton shoots left. Duchene is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (873).
Duchene shoots left. Laughton is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (407).
Home / Away
Duchene
Laughton
Home
55.7% (652)
52.7% (300)
Away
50.4% (702)
51.3% (304)
By Period
Duchene
Laughton
P1
51.4%
51.6%
P2
53.9%
53.8%
P3
53.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.3%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
53.0%
Laughton
56.0%▬
56.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2018 | 2 | 09:41 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 3, 2018 | 2 | 19:42 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 3, 2018 | 1 | 10:29 | Offensive | Scott Laughton |
| Nov 4, 2017 | 2 | 15:30 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 4, 2017 | 2 | 06:31 | Neutral | Scott Laughton |