Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Duchene wins 53.8% vs left-shot opponents — Laughton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 52.1% vs Laughton 50.7% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 65.9%
Defensive zone
Laughton 56.3%
Neutral zone
Laughton 54.1%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 65.9%
65.9%
34.1%
Duchene
Laughton
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Duchene
Laughton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
1
0
Duchene
Laughton
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Laughton
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (723)
52.3% (398)
+0.7%
Power Play
49.5% (101)
51.4% (37)
-1.9%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (16)
41.3% (63)
+2.5%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Laughton shoots left. Duchene is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (517).
Duchene shoots left. Laughton is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (354).
Home / Away
Duchene
Laughton
Home
54.9% (408)
51.2% (285)
Away
50.0% (432)
50.2% (213)
By Period
Duchene
Laughton
P1
52.5%
50.0%
P2
51.7%
55.9%
P3
53.6%
47.0%
OT
33.3%
25.0%
Final 5 min
53.3%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
52.4%
Laughton
56.0%▬
56.0%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2025 | 3 | 09:29 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |