Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Laughton on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Duchene wins 58.3% vs left-shot opponents — Laughton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 55.6% vs Laughton 49.0% (+7.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 55.8%
Defensive zone
Laughton 69.3%
Neutral zone
Laughton 54.8%
Result
Scott Laughton favored at 58.5%
41.5%
58.5%
Duchene
Laughton
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Duchene
Laughton
Last 9: Duchene 4-5 Laughton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Laughton
0
1
Duchene
Laughton
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Laughton
1
2
Duchene
Laughton
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
3
2
Duchene
Laughton
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Laughton
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (566)
49.1% (761)
+7.4%
Power Play
61.3% (62)
49.3% (69)
+12.0%
Penalty Kill
22.2% (9)
47.6% (147)
-25.4%
On penalty kill, Laughton has a +25.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Laughton shoots left. Duchene is 58.3% vs left-shot opponents (386).
Duchene shoots left. Laughton is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (646).
Home / Away
Duchene
Laughton
Home
56.6% (318)
50.7% (485)
Away
56.4% (319)
47.2% (492)
By Period
Duchene
Laughton
P1
57.2%
46.5%
P2
55.1%
51.1%
P3
55.6%
49.5%
OT
81.3%
35.7%
Final 5 min
47.9%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
56.5%
Laughton
56.0%▬
56.0%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2024 | 3 | 16:39 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 3 | 01:36 | Defensive | Scott Laughton |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 2 | 12:42 | Neutral | Scott Laughton |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 2 | 12:36 | Defensive | Scott Laughton |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 1 | 19:00 | Neutral | Scott Laughton |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 21, 2023 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 3 | 08:34 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 2 | 11:00 | Offensive | Scott Laughton |