Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 50.3% vs Couturier 47.9% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Duchene leads 13-5 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Duchene 69.5%
Defensive zone
Couturier 51.8%
Neutral zone
Duchene 63.6%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 59.2%
59.2%
40.8%
Duchene
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
5
(18 meetings)
13
5
Duchene
Couturier
Last 10: Duchene 7-3 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
3
2
Duchene
Couturier
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
6
1
Duchene
Couturier
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
4
2
Duchene
Couturier
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (933)
48.5% (1,067)
+0.9%
Power Play
58.7% (104)
51.0% (51)
+7.7%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (21)
43.4% (235)
+4.2%
On power play, Duchene has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Duchene is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (656).
Duchene shoots left. Couturier is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (856).
Home / Away
Duchene
Couturier
Home
51.9% (534)
49.4% (620)
Away
48.7% (524)
46.4% (733)
By Period
Duchene
Couturier
P1
51.0%
47.1%
P2
48.8%
50.4%
P3
50.6%
45.5%
OT
57.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.2%
42.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
50.3%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2014 | 3 | 17:10 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Feb 6, 2014 | 3 | 15:39 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Feb 6, 2014 | 3 | 06:47 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Feb 6, 2014 | 3 | 00:50 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 6, 2014 | 2 | 17:05 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 6, 2014 | 2 | 14:16 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 6, 2014 | 2 | 00:47 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 6, 2014 | 1 | 16:13 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 6, 2014 | 1 | 10:57 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 6, 2014 | 1 | 05:39 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 6, 2014 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 2, 2014 | 3 | 14:33 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 2, 2014 | 2 | 13:36 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 2, 2014 | 2 | 05:12 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 2, 2014 | 1 | 12:58 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 2, 2014 | 1 | 08:15 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 2, 2014 | 1 | 02:18 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 2, 2014 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |