Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Duchene wins 53.8% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 52.1% vs Couturier 55.6% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 55.8%
Defensive zone
Duchene 57.8%
Neutral zone
Duchene 55.8%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 56.5%
56.5%
43.5%
Duchene
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Duchene
Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
1
Duchene
Couturier
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Duchene
Couturier
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (723)
55.1% (1,008)
-2.1%
Power Play
49.5% (101)
64.1% (142)
-14.6%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (16)
53.3% (45)
-9.5%
On power play, Couturier has a +14.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Duchene is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (517).
Duchene shoots left. Couturier is 55.3% vs left-shot opponents (790).
Home / Away
Duchene
Couturier
Home
54.9% (408)
58.1% (609)
Away
50.0% (432)
53.9% (586)
By Period
Duchene
Couturier
P1
52.5%
55.3%
P2
51.7%
55.8%
P3
53.6%
57.4%
OT
33.3%
45.0%
Final 5 min
53.3%
57.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
52.4%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
56.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2025 | 3 | 12:11 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 2 | 05:02 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 2 | 00:05 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |