Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Duchene wins 58.3% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 55.6% vs Couturier 53.2% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Couturier 55.3%
Defensive zone
Couturier 55.3%
Neutral zone
Couturier 53.2%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 55.3%
44.7%
55.3%
Duchene
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Duchene
Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
2
Duchene
Couturier
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
1
0
Duchene
Couturier
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (566)
53.8% (1,003)
+2.7%
Power Play
61.3% (62)
56.4% (202)
+4.9%
Penalty Kill
22.2% (9)
42.7% (89)
-20.5%
On penalty kill, Couturier has a +20.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Duchene is 58.3% vs left-shot opponents (386).
Duchene shoots left. Couturier is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (823).
Home / Away
Duchene
Couturier
Home
56.6% (318)
54.4% (680)
Away
56.4% (319)
52.4% (614)
By Period
Duchene
Couturier
P1
57.2%
56.3%
P2
55.1%
51.8%
P3
55.6%
52.2%
OT
81.3%
60.9%
Final 5 min
47.9%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
56.5%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2023 | 3 | 18:12 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 1 | 10:18 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 1 | 07:24 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |