Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 52.0% vs Teravainen 48.8% (+5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 50.8%
Defensive zone
Duchene 75.2%
Neutral zone
Duchene 63.7%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 66.0%
66.0%
34.0%
Duchene
Teravainen
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Duchene
Teravainen
Last 5: Duchene 3-2 Teravainen
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
1
0
Duchene
Teravainen
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Duchene
Teravainen
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Teravainen
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (1,081)
48.3% (58)
+4.3%
Power Play
49.6% (119)
33.3% (3)
+16.3%
Penalty Kill
41.2% (17)
0.0% (1)
+41.2%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +41.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Teravainen shoots left. Duchene is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (744).
Duchene shoots left. Teravainen is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (36).
Home / Away
Duchene
Teravainen
Home
54.9% (625)
48.6% (35)
Away
49.3% (592)
44.4% (27)
By Period
Duchene
Teravainen
P1
52.7%
40.0%
P2
54.1%
55.6%
P3
49.5%
44.8%
Final 5 min
46.1%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
52.2%
Teravainen
34.0%▼
39.0%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2015 | 3 | 19:26 | Neutral | Teuvo Teravainen |
| Apr 11, 2015 | 3 | 10:27 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Apr 11, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Apr 11, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Apr 11, 2015 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Teuvo Teravainen |