Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +11.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 51.6% vs Teravainen 45.3% (+11.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Teravainen 56.0%
Defensive zone
Duchene 54.2%
Neutral zone
Teravainen 69.3%
Result
Teuvo Teravainen favored at 69.3%
30.7%
69.3%
Duchene
Teravainen
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Duchene
Teravainen
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Teravainen
0
1
Duchene
Teravainen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Teravainen
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (324)
45.6% (57)
+5.6%
Power Play
60.4% (53)
33.3% (30)
+27.1%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (6)
35.7% (14)
-19.0%
On power play, Duchene has a +27.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Teravainen shoots left. Duchene is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (242).
Duchene shoots left. Teravainen is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (67).
Home / Away
Duchene
Teravainen
Home
51.6% (182)
47.5% (59)
Away
52.2% (201)
31.0% (42)
By Period
Duchene
Teravainen
P1
49.6%
31.3%
P2
56.2%
41.2%
P3
48.6%
45.5%
OT
60.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
51.1%
39.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
52.0%
Teravainen
34.0%▼
39.0%
40.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | 1 | 16:43 | Neutral | Teuvo Teravainen |