Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +13.2% FO% edge overall. Duchene wins 53.8% vs left-shot opponents — Teravainen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 52.1% vs Teravainen 43.5% (+13.2%)
Offensive zone
Duchene 50.9%
Defensive zone
Duchene 56.6%
Neutral zone
Duchene 52.5%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 53.3%
53.3%
46.7%
Duchene
Teravainen
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Teravainen
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (723)
37.4% (91)
+15.6%
Power Play
49.5% (101)
45.2% (42)
+4.3%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (16)
35.0% (20)
+8.8%
On even strength, Duchene has a +15.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Teravainen shoots left. Duchene is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (517).
Duchene shoots left. Teravainen is 42.4% vs left-shot opponents (85).
Home / Away
Duchene
Teravainen
Home
54.9% (408)
38.6% (70)
Away
50.0% (432)
39.8% (83)
By Period
Duchene
Teravainen
P1
52.5%
37.8%
P2
51.7%
38.8%
P3
53.6%
42.6%
OT
33.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
53.3%
16.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
52.4%
Teravainen
34.0%▼
39.0%
39.2%