Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +21.8% FO% edge overall. Duchene wins 53.8% vs left-shot opponents — Eklund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 52.1% vs Eklund 44.9% (+21.8%)
Offensive zone
Eklund 50.2%
Defensive zone
Duchene 63.9%
Neutral zone
Duchene 56.6%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 56.8%
56.8%
43.2%
Duchene
Eklund
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Eklund
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (723)
24.0% (25)
+29.0%
Power Play
49.5% (101)
60.0% (5)
-10.5%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (16)
33.3% (6)
+10.5%
On even strength, Duchene has a +29.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eklund shoots left. Duchene is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (517).
Duchene shoots left. Eklund is 30.0% vs left-shot opponents (20).
Home / Away
Duchene
Eklund
Home
54.9% (408)
38.1% (21)
Away
50.0% (432)
20.0% (15)
By Period
Duchene
Eklund
P1
52.5%
25.0%
P2
51.7%
36.4%
P3
53.6%
33.3%
Final 5 min
53.3%
16.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
52.4%
Eklund
28.0%▬
29.0%
30.6%