Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Poitras wins 45.0% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Poitras 47.6% vs Monahan 52.4% (-6.9%)
Offensive zone
Poitras 65.6%
Defensive zone
Monahan 59.6%
Neutral zone
Monahan 53.7%
Result
Matthew Poitras favored at 50.8%
50.8%
49.2%
Poitras
Monahan
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Poitras
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
45.2% (126)
52.4% (853)
-7.2%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
58.6% (174)
+8.1%
On power play, Poitras has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Poitras is 45.0% vs left-shot opponents (100).
Poitras shoots right. Monahan is 55.3% vs right-shot opponents (389).
Home / Away
Poitras
Monahan
Home
43.3% (67)
53.4% (624)
Away
48.4% (62)
51.7% (547)
By Period
Poitras
Monahan
P1
44.1%
53.7%
P2
47.1%
52.4%
P3
45.5%
51.6%
Final 5 min
41.4%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Poitras
42.0%▼
44.5%
45.7%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
52.6%