Scouting Report
Matthew Poitras holds a +18.7% FO% edge overall. Poitras wins 45.8% vs left-shot opponents — Tatar shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Poitras 45.5% vs Tatar 45.8% (+18.7%)
Offensive zone
Poitras 51.7%
Defensive zone
Poitras 64.1%
Neutral zone
Poitras 53.3%
Result
Matthew Poitras favored at 56.4%
56.4%
43.6%
Poitras
Tatar
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Poitras
Tatar
Edge
Even Strength
43.3% (245)
21.4% (14)
+21.9%
Power Play
50.0% (6)
20.0% (5)
+30.0%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (3)
100.0% (1)
-33.3%
On penalty kill, Tatar has a +33.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tatar shoots left. Poitras is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (168).
Poitras shoots right. Tatar is 20.0% vs right-shot opponents (5).
Home / Away
Poitras
Tatar
Home
44.6% (121)
9.1% (11)
Away
42.9% (133)
44.4% (9)
By Period
Poitras
Tatar
P1
41.5%
0.0%
P2
45.4%
42.9%
P3
44.4%
40.0%
Final 5 min
40.0%
16.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Poitras
42.0%▼
44.5%
43.7%
Tatar
42.0%▲
38.0%
25.0%