Scouting Report
Tomas Tatar holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Poitras wins 45.0% vs left-shot opponents — Tatar shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Poitras 47.6% vs Tatar 50.4% (-6.9%)
Offensive zone
Poitras 64.4%
Defensive zone
Poitras 58.6%
Neutral zone
Poitras 54.6%
Result
Matthew Poitras favored at 59.2%
59.2%
40.8%
Poitras
Tatar
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Poitras
Tatar
Edge
Even Strength
45.2% (126)
57.1% (14)
-11.9%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
40.0% (5)
+26.7%
On power play, Poitras has a +26.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tatar shoots left. Poitras is 45.0% vs left-shot opponents (100).
Poitras shoots right. Tatar is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (6).
Home / Away
Poitras
Tatar
Home
43.3% (67)
46.2% (13)
Away
48.4% (62)
66.7% (6)
By Period
Poitras
Tatar
P1
44.1%
71.4%
P2
47.1%
33.3%
P3
45.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
41.4%
42.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Poitras
42.0%▼
44.5%
45.7%
Tatar
42.0%▲
38.0%
52.6%