Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Janmark wins 41.3% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Janmark 43.4% vs Roy 47.9% (-7.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roy 55.5%
Defensive zone
Roy 73.9%
Neutral zone
Roy 69.2%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 70.8%
29.2%
70.8%
Janmark
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Janmark
Roy
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Janmark
1
0
Janmark
Roy
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Janmark
Roy
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Janmark
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
40.8% (213)
48.6% (679)
-7.8%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
48.0% (50)
-48.0%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (25)
34.7% (49)
+5.3%
On power play, Roy has a +48.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Janmark is 41.3% vs right-shot opponents (80).
Janmark shoots left. Roy is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (592).
Home / Away
Janmark
Roy
Home
44.1% (111)
49.3% (345)
Away
37.5% (128)
46.4% (433)
By Period
Janmark
Roy
P1
34.6%
47.6%
P2
41.5%
47.1%
P3
45.6%
47.9%
Final 5 min
48.0%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Janmark
34.0%▼
39.0%
40.6%
Roy
54.0%▲
52.0%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2025 | 3 | 02:35 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 2 | 04:17 | Defensive | Mattias Janmark |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 1 | 04:34 | Neutral | Mattias Janmark |