Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall. Janmark wins 39.7% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Janmark 40.1% vs Roy 48.5% (-9.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Janmark 61.4%
Defensive zone
Roy 87.4%
Neutral zone
Roy 78.0%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 81.1%
18.9%
81.1%
Janmark
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Janmark
Roy
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Janmark
1
0
Janmark
Roy
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Janmark
Roy
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Janmark
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
39.7% (907)
48.9% (3,621)
-9.2%
Power Play
32.5% (40)
49.3% (276)
-16.8%
Penalty Kill
36.1% (72)
44.9% (463)
-8.8%
On power play, Roy has a +16.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Janmark is 39.7% vs right-shot opponents (368).
Janmark shoots left. Roy is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (3,208).
Home / Away
Janmark
Roy
Home
39.3% (463)
49.5% (2,186)
Away
39.0% (556)
47.4% (2,174)
By Period
Janmark
Roy
P1
41.2%
51.0%
P2
35.7%
46.1%
P3
41.3%
48.3%
OT
37.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
40.2%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Janmark
34.0%▼
39.0%
39.2%
Roy
54.0%▲
52.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2025 | 3 | 02:35 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 2 | 04:17 | Defensive | Mattias Janmark |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 1 | 04:34 | Neutral | Mattias Janmark |