Scouting Report
Mitch Marner holds a +13.2% FO% edge overall. Beniers wins 45.8% vs right-shot opponents — Marner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beniers 46.4% vs Marner 50.8% (-13.2%)
Offensive zone
Beniers 53.8%
Defensive zone
Marner 54.9%
Neutral zone
Beniers 54.7%
Result
Matty Beniers favored at 51.2%
51.2%
48.8%
Beniers
Marner
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beniers
Marner
Edge
Even Strength
41.6% (89)
57.1% (7)
-15.5%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
54.5% (11)
-54.5%
On penalty kill, Marner has a +54.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Marner shoots right. Beniers is 45.8% vs right-shot opponents (24).
Beniers shoots left. Marner is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (9).
Home / Away
Beniers
Marner
Home
62.2% (45)
44.4% (9)
Away
23.4% (47)
66.7% (9)
By Period
Beniers
Marner
P1
51.5%
80.0%
P2
25.0%
44.4%
P3
50.0%
33.3%
OT
100.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
25.0%
60.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beniers
44.0%▼
50.5%
42.4%
Marner
48.0%▲
40.0%
55.6%