Scouting Report
Matty Beniers holds a +12.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beniers 49.4% vs Kelly 41.6% (+12.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Beniers 51.5%
Defensive zone
Beniers 53.6%
Neutral zone
Kelly 56.9%
Result
Parker Kelly favored at 56.9%
43.1%
56.9%
Beniers
Kelly
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Beniers
Kelly
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kelly
0
1
Beniers
Kelly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beniers
Kelly
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (833)
36.3% (157)
+12.6%
Power Play
58.3% (36)
0.0% (1)
+58.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (32)
45.5% (11)
+4.5%
On power play, Beniers has a +58.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kelly shoots left. Beniers is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (615).
Beniers shoots left. Kelly is 37.7% vs left-shot opponents (106).
Home / Away
Beniers
Kelly
Home
52.4% (460)
35.9% (78)
Away
46.0% (441)
37.4% (91)
By Period
Beniers
Kelly
P1
48.4%
34.3%
P2
51.1%
36.0%
P3
47.8%
40.4%
Final 5 min
45.5%
37.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beniers
44.0%▼
50.5%
49.3%
Kelly
46.0%▲
38.0%
36.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2025 | 3 | 02:40 | Neutral | Parker Kelly |