Scouting Report
Matty Beniers holds a +16.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beniers 49.2% vs Kelly 39.9% (+16.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kelly 53.9%
Defensive zone
Kelly 56.7%
Neutral zone
Kelly 58.4%
Result
Parker Kelly favored at 58.4%
41.6%
58.4%
Beniers
Kelly
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Beniers
Kelly
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kelly
0
1
Beniers
Kelly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beniers
Kelly
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (647)
32.5% (123)
+16.3%
Power Play
53.8% (26)
0.0% (1)
+53.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (32)
33.3% (9)
+16.7%
On power play, Beniers has a +53.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kelly shoots left. Beniers is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (472).
Beniers shoots left. Kelly is 34.6% vs left-shot opponents (81).
Home / Away
Beniers
Kelly
Home
52.7% (357)
31.7% (60)
Away
45.4% (348)
32.9% (73)
By Period
Beniers
Kelly
P1
47.9%
26.9%
P2
51.9%
34.3%
P3
46.8%
37.0%
Final 5 min
42.8%
31.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beniers
64.0%▲
51.0%
49.1%
Kelly
22.0%▼
37.0%
32.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2025 | 3 | 02:40 | Neutral | Parker Kelly |