Scouting Report
Matty Beniers holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Beniers on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beniers 46.7% vs Kelly 41.8% (+5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Beniers 86.0%
Defensive zone
Kelly 50.4%
Neutral zone
Beniers 63.0%
Result
Matty Beniers favored at 66.6%
66.6%
33.4%
Beniers
Kelly
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Beniers
Kelly
Last 8: Beniers 5-3 Kelly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Beniers
3
0
Beniers
Kelly
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
1
2
Beniers
Kelly
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Beniers
Kelly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beniers
Kelly
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (3,796)
41.9% (756)
+4.7%
Power Play
47.8% (360)
0.0% (3)
+47.8%
Penalty Kill
41.4% (111)
37.2% (172)
+4.2%
On power play, Beniers has a +47.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kelly shoots left. Beniers is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (2,820).
Beniers shoots left. Kelly is 41.5% vs left-shot opponents (626).
Home / Away
Beniers
Kelly
Home
48.9% (2,195)
42.5% (475)
Away
44.2% (2,072)
39.3% (456)
By Period
Beniers
Kelly
P1
47.4%
42.4%
P2
47.1%
44.7%
P3
45.7%
35.7%
OT
34.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
46.2%
35.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beniers
44.0%▼
50.5%
46.6%
Kelly
46.0%▲
38.0%
40.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2025 | 3 | 02:40 | Neutral | Parker Kelly |
| Dec 22, 2024 | 3 | 19:28 | Defensive | Parker Kelly |
| Dec 22, 2024 | 3 | 10:04 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Dec 22, 2024 | 3 | 01:06 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 3 | 02:49 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 2 | 19:52 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 2 | 06:03 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 1 | 01:20 | Defensive | Parker Kelly |