Scouting Report
Matty Beniers holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Beniers on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beniers 47.8% vs Kelly 43.9% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Beniers 88.0%
Defensive zone
Beniers 56.6%
Neutral zone
Beniers 62.2%
Result
Matty Beniers favored at 73.2%
73.2%
26.8%
Beniers
Kelly
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Beniers
Kelly
Last 6: Beniers 5-1 Kelly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Beniers
3
0
Beniers
Kelly
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Beniers
Kelly
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beniers
1
0
Beniers
Kelly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beniers
Kelly
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (1,050)
44.8% (556)
+3.5%
Power Play
42.9% (105)
0.0% (2)
+42.9%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (39)
36.8% (144)
+6.8%
On power play, Beniers has a +42.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kelly shoots left. Beniers is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (821).
Beniers shoots left. Kelly is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (481).
Home / Away
Beniers
Kelly
Home
48.7% (630)
44.8% (368)
Away
46.5% (564)
41.0% (334)
By Period
Beniers
Kelly
P1
49.2%
46.7%
P2
45.0%
48.0%
P3
49.3%
34.8%
OT
22.2%
50.0%
Final 5 min
45.6%
35.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beniers
44.0%▼
50.5%
47.7%
Kelly
46.0%▲
38.0%
43.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 22, 2024 | 3 | 19:28 | Defensive | Parker Kelly |
| Dec 22, 2024 | 3 | 10:04 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Dec 22, 2024 | 3 | 01:06 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 3 | 02:49 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 2 | 19:52 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 2 | 06:03 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |