Scouting Report
Patrick Brown holds a +10.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Brown on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Beniers wins 43.7% vs right-shot opponents — Brown shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beniers 42.9% vs Brown 51.9% (-10.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Beniers 80.5%
Defensive zone
Brown 55.2%
Neutral zone
Beniers 61.3%
Result
Matty Beniers favored at 55.8%
55.8%
44.2%
Beniers
Brown
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Beniers
Brown
Last 9: Beniers 3-6 Brown
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brown
0
3
Beniers
Brown
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Beniers
Brown
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beniers
Brown
Edge
Even Strength
42.3% (879)
52.8% (284)
-10.5%
Power Play
40.3% (72)
75.0% (4)
-34.7%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (18)
49.0% (51)
-4.6%
On power play, Brown has a +34.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brown shoots right. Beniers is 43.7% vs right-shot opponents (371).
Beniers shoots left. Brown is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (237).
Home / Away
Beniers
Brown
Home
43.8% (495)
53.5% (144)
Away
40.5% (474)
51.8% (195)
By Period
Beniers
Brown
P1
43.3%
49.0%
P2
45.6%
48.7%
P3
38.2%
58.6%
Final 5 min
42.3%
55.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beniers
44.0%▼
50.5%
42.2%
Brown
44.0%▼
48.5%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2023 | 3 | 09:56 | Defensive | Patrick Brown |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 2 | 08:11 | Neutral | Patrick Brown |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 1 | 04:10 | Neutral | Patrick Brown |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 3 | 14:11 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 1 | 17:01 | Defensive | Patrick Brown |
| Feb 12, 2023 | 2 | 03:33 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Feb 12, 2023 | 2 | 00:13 | Defensive | Patrick Brown |
| Feb 12, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Feb 12, 2023 | 1 | 17:01 | Neutral | Patrick Brown |