Scouting Report
Patrick Brown holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Brown on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Beniers wins 44.4% vs right-shot opponents — Brown shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beniers 46.7% vs Brown 54.6% (-8.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Beniers 85.9%
Defensive zone
Brown 56.5%
Neutral zone
Beniers 64.6%
Result
Matty Beniers favored at 57.6%
57.6%
42.4%
Beniers
Brown
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Beniers
Brown
Last 9: Beniers 3-6 Brown
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brown
0
3
Beniers
Brown
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Beniers
Brown
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beniers
Brown
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (3,796)
56.5% (726)
-9.9%
Power Play
47.8% (360)
62.5% (8)
-14.7%
Penalty Kill
41.4% (111)
47.8% (136)
-6.4%
On power play, Brown has a +14.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brown shoots right. Beniers is 44.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,447).
Beniers shoots left. Brown is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (619).
Home / Away
Beniers
Brown
Home
48.9% (2,195)
57.4% (364)
Away
44.2% (2,072)
53.6% (506)
By Period
Beniers
Brown
P1
47.4%
51.4%
P2
47.1%
54.6%
P3
45.7%
58.8%
OT
34.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
46.2%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beniers
44.0%▼
50.5%
46.6%
Brown
44.0%▼
48.5%
55.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2023 | 3 | 09:56 | Defensive | Patrick Brown |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 2 | 08:11 | Neutral | Patrick Brown |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 1 | 04:10 | Neutral | Patrick Brown |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 3 | 14:11 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 1 | 17:01 | Defensive | Patrick Brown |
| Feb 12, 2023 | 2 | 03:33 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Feb 12, 2023 | 2 | 00:13 | Defensive | Patrick Brown |
| Feb 12, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Feb 12, 2023 | 1 | 17:01 | Neutral | Patrick Brown |