Matty Beniers vs Pavel Buchnevich
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Matty Beniers holds a +11.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Buchnevich on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beniers 49.4% vs Buchnevich 42.1% (+11.7%)
H2H factor
Buchnevich leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Buchnevich 54.2%
Defensive zone
Beniers 58.1%
Neutral zone
Beniers 50.0%
Result
Matty Beniers favored at 50.3%
50.3%
49.7%
Beniers
Buchnevich
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
6
(11 meetings)
5
6
Beniers
Buchnevich
Last 10: Beniers 4-6 Buchnevich
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Beniers
2
1
Beniers
Buchnevich
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Beniers
Buchnevich
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Buchnevich
2
4
Beniers
Buchnevich
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beniers
Buchnevich
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (833)
37.7% (154)
+11.2%
Power Play
58.3% (36)
42.9% (14)
+15.4%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (32)
30.0% (10)
+20.0%
On penalty kill, Beniers has a +20.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Buchnevich shoots left. Beniers is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (615).
Beniers shoots left. Buchnevich is 34.6% vs left-shot opponents (107).
Home / Away
Beniers
Buchnevich
Home
52.4% (460)
37.4% (91)
Away
46.0% (441)
37.9% (87)
By Period
Beniers
Buchnevich
P1
48.4%
38.9%
P2
51.1%
31.5%
P3
47.8%
42.0%
OT
66.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
45.5%
33.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beniers
44.0%▼
50.5%
49.3%
Buchnevich
36.0%▼
38.5%
37.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2026 | 2 | 11:22 | Defensive | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 1 | 00:40 | Neutral | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 1 | 00:31 | Neutral | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 3 | 13:31 | Neutral | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 3 | 07:42 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 2 | 09:27 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 2 | 06:13 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 1 | 19:01 | Offensive | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 1 | 06:38 | Neutral | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 1 | 00:17 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |