Matty Beniers vs Pavel Buchnevich
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Matty Beniers holds a +12.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Beniers on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beniers 46.7% vs Buchnevich 35.4% (+12.7%)
H2H factor
Beniers leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Beniers 58.5%
Defensive zone
Beniers 76.2%
Neutral zone
Beniers 70.2%
Result
Matty Beniers favored at 66.6%
66.6%
33.4%
Beniers
Buchnevich
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
6
(13 meetings)
7
6
Beniers
Buchnevich
Last 10: Beniers 4-6 Buchnevich
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Beniers
4
1
Beniers
Buchnevich
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Beniers
Buchnevich
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Buchnevich
2
4
Beniers
Buchnevich
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beniers
Buchnevich
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (3,796)
33.7% (895)
+12.9%
Power Play
47.8% (360)
44.2% (52)
+3.6%
Penalty Kill
41.4% (111)
24.3% (37)
+17.1%
On penalty kill, Beniers has a +17.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Buchnevich shoots left. Beniers is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (2,820).
Beniers shoots left. Buchnevich is 32.8% vs left-shot opponents (646).
Home / Away
Beniers
Buchnevich
Home
48.9% (2,195)
34.7% (490)
Away
44.2% (2,072)
33.2% (494)
By Period
Beniers
Buchnevich
P1
47.4%
34.4%
P2
47.1%
33.7%
P3
45.7%
33.4%
OT
34.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
46.2%
37.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beniers
44.0%▼
50.5%
46.6%
Buchnevich
36.0%▼
38.5%
33.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2026 | 2 | 11:22 | Defensive | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 1 | 00:40 | Neutral | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 1 | 00:31 | Neutral | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 3 | 13:31 | Neutral | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 3 | 07:42 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 2 | 09:27 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 2 | 06:13 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 1 | 19:01 | Offensive | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 1 | 06:38 | Neutral | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 1 | 00:17 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Apr 14, 2024 | 3 | 11:19 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |