Scouting Report
Matty Beniers holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beniers 49.4% vs Colton 48.5% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Beniers 53.2%
Defensive zone
Beniers 62.1%
Neutral zone
Beniers 57.2%
Result
Matty Beniers favored at 57.5%
57.5%
42.5%
Beniers
Colton
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Beniers
Colton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Beniers
1
0
Beniers
Colton
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beniers
1
0
Beniers
Colton
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beniers
1
0
Beniers
Colton
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beniers
Colton
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (833)
45.5% (88)
+3.4%
Power Play
58.3% (36)
71.4% (7)
-13.1%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (32)
0.0% (1)
+50.0%
On penalty kill, Beniers has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Colton shoots left. Beniers is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (615).
Beniers shoots left. Colton is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (57).
Home / Away
Beniers
Colton
Home
52.4% (460)
44.7% (47)
Away
46.0% (441)
49.0% (49)
By Period
Beniers
Colton
P1
48.4%
52.8%
P2
51.1%
47.1%
P3
47.8%
38.5%
Final 5 min
45.5%
41.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beniers
44.0%▼
50.5%
49.3%
Colton
44.0%▲
42.5%
46.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2025 | 3 | 11:03 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 2 | 09:16 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 2 | 06:32 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |