Scouting Report
Ross Colton holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Beniers on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beniers 46.7% vs Colton 51.0% (-4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Colton 64.1%
Defensive zone
Colton 77.9%
Neutral zone
Colton 77.9%
Result
Ross Colton favored at 70.3%
29.7%
70.3%
Beniers
Colton
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
1
(9 meetings)
8
1
Beniers
Colton
Last 9: Beniers 8-1 Colton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Beniers
4
1
Beniers
Colton
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beniers
1
0
Beniers
Colton
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beniers
3
0
Beniers
Colton
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beniers
Colton
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (3,796)
51.6% (1,800)
-5.0%
Power Play
47.8% (360)
48.8% (162)
-1.0%
Penalty Kill
41.4% (111)
34.5% (29)
+6.9%
On penalty kill, Beniers has a +6.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Colton shoots left. Beniers is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (2,820).
Beniers shoots left. Colton is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,295).
Home / Away
Beniers
Colton
Home
48.9% (2,195)
51.9% (1,013)
Away
44.2% (2,072)
50.2% (978)
By Period
Beniers
Colton
P1
47.4%
53.5%
P2
47.1%
52.6%
P3
45.7%
47.9%
OT
34.1%
25.0%
Final 5 min
46.2%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beniers
44.0%▼
50.5%
46.6%
Colton
44.0%▲
42.5%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2025 | 3 | 11:03 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 2 | 09:16 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 2 | 06:32 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Nov 13, 2023 | 3 | 06:35 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Nov 13, 2023 | 2 | 14:12 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Nov 13, 2023 | 2 | 11:18 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 1 | 16:07 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 1 | 06:27 | Offensive | Ross Colton |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 3 | 12:00 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |