Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Beniers wins 45.1% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beniers 49.4% vs Carrick 53.8% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Beniers 62.7%
Defensive zone
Carrick 83.3%
Neutral zone
Carrick 66.9%
Result
Matty Beniers favored at 62.7%
62.7%
37.3%
Beniers
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Beniers
Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Beniers
1
0
Beniers
Carrick
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beniers
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (833)
55.1% (439)
-6.2%
Power Play
58.3% (36)
66.7% (3)
-8.4%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (32)
49.1% (53)
+0.9%
On power play, Carrick has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Beniers is 45.1% vs right-shot opponents (286).
Beniers shoots left. Carrick is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (355).
Home / Away
Beniers
Carrick
Home
52.4% (460)
58.2% (225)
Away
46.0% (441)
51.5% (270)
By Period
Beniers
Carrick
P1
48.4%
56.7%
P2
51.1%
52.8%
P3
47.8%
54.4%
Final 5 min
45.5%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beniers
44.0%▼
50.5%
49.3%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
54.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2026 | 2 | 09:53 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |