Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Beniers on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Beniers wins 44.4% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beniers 46.7% vs Carrick 52.1% (-5.6%)
H2H factor
Carrick leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Beniers 77.1%
Defensive zone
Carrick 65.6%
Neutral zone
Beniers 56.4%
Result
Matty Beniers favored at 51.9%
51.9%
48.1%
Beniers
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
6
(11 meetings)
5
6
Beniers
Carrick
Last 10: Beniers 4-6 Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Beniers
4
0
Beniers
Carrick
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
1
5
Beniers
Carrick
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
1
Beniers
Carrick
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beniers
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (3,796)
52.1% (2,513)
-5.5%
Power Play
47.8% (360)
61.3% (75)
-13.5%
Penalty Kill
41.4% (111)
50.7% (430)
-9.3%
On power play, Carrick has a +13.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Beniers is 44.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,447).
Beniers shoots left. Carrick is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,179).
Home / Away
Beniers
Carrick
Home
48.9% (2,195)
51.2% (1,441)
Away
44.2% (2,072)
53.0% (1,577)
By Period
Beniers
Carrick
P1
47.4%
51.8%
P2
47.1%
52.2%
P3
45.7%
52.4%
Final 5 min
46.2%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beniers
44.0%▼
50.5%
46.6%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2026 | 2 | 09:53 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 3 | 02:17 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 1 | 13:43 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 1 | 13:37 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Nov 17, 2024 | 3 | 09:46 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Nov 17, 2024 | 2 | 10:21 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 3 | 14:48 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 2 | 09:16 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 1 | 09:56 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 1 | 07:00 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Nov 27, 2022 | 3 | 04:44 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |