Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Carrick on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Beniers wins 44.3% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beniers 47.6% vs Carrick 53.0% (-6.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Beniers 72.9%
Defensive zone
Carrick 78.4%
Neutral zone
Beniers 51.0%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 65.6%
34.4%
65.6%
Beniers
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Beniers
Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Beniers
1
0
Beniers
Carrick
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
1
2
Beniers
Carrick
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beniers
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (945)
53.9% (521)
-6.6%
Power Play
51.7% (145)
57.1% (35)
-5.4%
Penalty Kill
23.8% (21)
51.5% (229)
-27.7%
On penalty kill, Carrick has a +27.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Beniers is 44.3% vs right-shot opponents (393).
Beniers shoots left. Carrick is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (562).
Home / Away
Beniers
Carrick
Home
49.6% (565)
52.7% (408)
Away
45.2% (546)
54.1% (377)
By Period
Beniers
Carrick
P1
48.0%
51.4%
P2
49.0%
56.6%
P3
46.5%
52.1%
Final 5 min
51.5%
57.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beniers
44.0%▼
50.5%
47.4%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2023 | 3 | 14:48 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 2 | 09:16 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 1 | 09:56 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 1 | 07:00 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |